Magnitude 6.5 Earthquake in Guerrero State, Mexico.

The United States Geological Survey recorded a Magnitude 6.5 Earthquake at a depth of 35.0 km, approximately 4 km to the north of the resort of Rancho Viejo in Guerrero State, slightly before 10.00 am local time (slightly before 2.00 pm GMT) on Friday 2 January 2025. This even was felt across much of southern and central Mexico, with at least two people having died, a 50-year-old woman in Guerrero State, and a 60-year-old man in Mexico City. At least 12 further people were injured by the event. 

The approximate location of the 3 January 2026 Guerrero State Earthquake. Contour lines show rates of movement during the quake, the red line is the Middle American Trench. USGS.

Mexico is located on the southernmost part of the North American Plate. To the south, along the Middle American Trench, which lies off the southern coast off Mexico, the Cocos Plate is being subducted under the North American Plate, passing under southern Mexico as it sinks into the Earth. Guatemala is located on the southern part of the Caribbean Plate, close to its boundary with the Cocos Plate, which underlies part of the east Pacific. The Cocos Plate is being pushed northwards by expansion of the crust along the East Pacific Rise, and is subducted beneath the Caribbean Plate along the Middle American Trench. This is not a smooth process, and the plates frequently stick together then break apart as the pressure builds up, causing Earthquakes in the process. 

The position of the Cocos, Nazca and Rivera Plates. MCEER/University at Buffalo.

The Cocos Plate is thought to have formed about 23 million years ago, when the Farallon Plate, an ancient tectonic plate underlying the East Pacific, split in two, forming the Cocos Plate to the north and the Nazca Plate to the south. Then, roughly 10 million years ago, the northwesternmost part of the Cocos Plate split of to form the Rivera Plate, south of Beja California.

In a paper published in the Journal of Geophysical Research, in 2012, a team led by Igor Stubailo of the Department of Earth and Space Sciences at the University of California Los Angeles, published a model of the subduction zone beneath Mexico using data from seismic monitoring stations belonging to the Mesoamerican Seismic Experiment, the Network of Autonomously Recording Seismographs, the USArray, Mapping the Rivera Subduction Zone, and the Mexican Servicio Sismologico Nacional.

The seismic monitoring stations were able to monitor not just Earthquakes in Mexico, but also Earthquakes in other parts of the world, monitoring the rate at which compression waves from these quakes moved through the rocks beneath Mexico, and how the structure of the rocks altered the movement of these waves.

Based upon the results from these monitoring stations, Stubailo et al. came to the conclusion that the Cocos Plate was split into two beneath Mexico, and that the two plates are subducting at different angles, one steep and one shallow. Since the rate at which a plate melts reflects its depth within the Earth, the steeper angled plate melts much closer to the subduction zone than the shallower angled plate, splitting the Trans-Mexican Volcanic Belt into sections above the different segments of the Cocos Plate, and causing it to apparently curve away from the subduction zone.

Top the model of the Cocos Plate beneath Mexico, split into two sections (A & B) subducting at differing angles. (C) Represents the Rivera Plate, subducting at a steeper angle than either section of the Cocos Plate. The Split between the two has been named the Orozco Fracture Zone (OFZ) which is shown extended across the Cocos Plate; in theory this might in future split the Cocos Plate into two segments (though not on any human timescale). Bottom Left, the position of the segments on a map of Mexico. Darker area is the Trans-Mexican Volcanic Belt, orange circles are volcanoes, brown triangles are seismic monitoring stations, yellow stars are major cities. Bottom Right, an alternative model showing the subducting plate twisted but not split. This did not fit the data. Stubailo et al. (2012).

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Magnitude 6.2 Eaarthquake off the coast of Guanacaste Province, Costa Rica.

The United States Geological Survey recorded a Magnitude 6.2 Earthquake at a depth of 16.0 km, off the west ciast of Costa Rica, roughly 41 km to the west of the town of Tamarindo in Guanacaste Province, Costa Rica, slightly before 11.45 am local time (slightly before 5.45 pm GMT) on Saturday 12 October 2024. There are no reports of any damage or casualties associated with this event, but it was felt across much of northern Costa Rica and southern Nicaragua.

The approximate location of the 12 October 2024 Costa Rica Earthquake. USGS.

Costa Rica lies on the southern margin of the Caribbean Plate; to the south of the country the Cocos Plate, which underlies part of the eastern Pacific Ocean) is being subducted under the Middle American Trench, passing under Central America as it sinks into the Earth's interior. This is not a smooth process, and the plates often stick together until the pressure builds up enough to force them to shift suddenly, causing Earthquakes. As the Cocos Plate sinks deeper if is partially melted by the friction and the heat of the Earth's interior. Some of the melted material then rises up through the overlying Caribbean Plate, fuelling the volcanoes of Central America.

Diagram showing the passage of the Cocos Plate beneath Costa Rica (not to scale). Carleton College.

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Magnitude 6.4 Earthquake off the coast of the Mexico/Guatemala border.

The United States Geological Survey recorded a Magnitude 6.4 Earthquake at a depth of 75.4 km, approximately 17 km off the south coast of the border between Mexico and Guatemala, slightly before 5.40 am local time (slightly before 11.40 am GMT) on Sunday 12 May 2024. This even was felt across much of southern Guatemala, and Chiapas State, Mexico, and triggered a number of small landslides as well as minor damage to some buildings, but there are no reports of any injuries.

The approximate location of the 12 May 2024 Mexico/Guatemala Earthquake. Contour lines show rates of movement during the quake, the red line is the Middle American Trench. USGS.

Mexico is located on the southernmost part of the North American Plate. To the south, along the Middle American Trench, which lies off the southern coast off Mexico, the Cocos Plate is being subducted under the North American Plate, passing under southern Mexico as it sinks into the Earth. Guatemala is located on the southern part of the Caribbean Plate, close to its boundary with the Cocos Plate, which underlies part of the east Pacific. The Cocos Plate is being pushed northwards by expansion of the crust along the East Pacific Rise, and is subducted beneath the Caribbean Plate along the Middle American Trench. This is not a smooth process, and the plates frequently stick together then break apart as the pressure builds up, causing Earthquakes on the process. 

The position of the Cocos, Nazca and Rivera Plates. MCEER/University at Buffalo.

The Cocos Plate is thought to have formed about 23 million years ago, when the Farallon Plate, an ancient tectonic plate underlying the East Pacific, split in two, forming the Cocos Plate to the north and the Nazca Plate to the south. Then, roughly 10 million years ago, the northwesternmost part of the Cocos Plate split of to form the Rivera Plate, south of Beja California.

In a paper published in the Journal of Geophysical Research, in 2012, a team led by Igor Stubailo of the Department of Earth and Space Sciences at the University of California Los Angeles, published a model of the subduction zone beneath Mexico using data from seismic monitoring stations belonging to the Mesoamerican Seismic Experiment, the Network of Autonomously Recording Seismographs, the USArray, Mapping the Rivera Subduction Zone and the Mexican Servicio Sismologico Nacional.

The seismic monitoring stations were able to monitor not just Earthquakes in Mexico, but also Earthquakes in other parts of the world, monitoring the rate at which compression waves from these quakes moved through the rocks beneath Mexico, and how the structure of the rocks altered the movement of these waves.

Based upon the results from these monitoring stations, Stubailo et al. came to the conclusion that the Cocos Plate was split into two beneath Mexico, and that the two plates are subducting at different angles, one steep and one shallow. Since the rate at which a plate melts reflects its depth within the Earth, the steeper angled plate melts much closer to the subduction zone than the shallower angled plate, splitting the Trans-Mexican Volcanic Belt into sections above the different segments of the Cocos Plate, and causing it to apparently curve away from the subduction zone.

Top the model of the Cocos Plate beneath Mexico, split into two sections (A & B) subducting at differing angles. (C) Represents the Rivera Plate, subducting at a steeper angle than either section of the Cocos Plate. The Split between the two has been named the Orozco Fracture Zone (OFZ) which is shown extended across the Cocos Plate; in theory this might in future split the Cocos Plate into two segments (though not on any human timescale). Bottom Left, the position of the segments on a map of Mexico. Darker area is the Trans-Mexican Volcanic Belt, orange circles are volcanoes, brown triangles are seismic monitoring stations, yellow stars are major cities. Bottom Right, an alternative model showing the subducting plate twisted but not split. This did not fit the data. Stubailo et al. (2012).

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Eruptions on Mount Popocatépetl.

Mount Popocatépetl, a 3020 m high stratovolcano (cone-shaped volcano made up of layers of ash and lava) about 70 km from Mexico City in the eastern Trans-Mexican Volcanic Belt, began suffering regular seismic events (small Earthuakes associated with the movement of magma in chambers beneath the volcano) on 14 February 2024, followed by a series of eruptions which produced ash columns up to 6 km high, which drifted to the north, northeast, and south. Ashfalls were reported in the municipalities of Nativitas, Santa Isabel, Tetlatlahuaca, Tlaxcala, Santa Ana Chiautempan, and Zacatelco, and Hermanos Serdán International Airport, was forced to be closed while ash was cleared from its runways. Earthquakes and smaller eruptions persisted for the nest week, with an ashfall again reported in the municipality of Hueyapan on 19 February. A 12 km exclusion zone around the volcano has been declared as a precaution.

An eruption on Mount Popocatépetl seen from Puebla. Daniel Llerandi/BBC.

Popocatépetl has been more or less constantly erupting since the mid 1990s, but most of the time this activity remains at a low level. Major eruptions on Popocatépetl are a cause for concern as the volcano is in a densely populated area, with 30 million people living within the potential hazard zone. The last major eruption, a Plinian (or Vesuvian) event in about 800 AD, triggered a series of pyroclastic flows and lahars that scoured the basins around the volcano.

The volcanoes of the Trans-Mexican Volcanic Belt are fuelled by the subduction of the Cocos Plate beneath the North American Plate along the Middle American Trench to the south of Mexico. As the subducting plate sinks into the Earth it is melted by the heat and pressure, and volatile minerals liquefy and rise through the overlying North American Plate as magma, fuelling Mexico's volcanoes. 

The subduction of the Cocos Plate beneath the North American Plate in Mexico, and how it leads to volcanoes and Earthquakes. King Saud University.

The Cocos Plate is thought to have formed about 23 million years ago, when the Farallon Plate, an ancient tectonic plate underlying the East Pacific, split in two, forming the Cocos Plate to the north and the Nazca Plate to the south. Then, roughly 10 million years ago, the northwesternmost part of the Cocos Plate split of to form the Rivera Plate, south of Beja California.

The position of the Cocos, Nazca and Rivera Plates. MCEER/University at Buffalo.

In a paper published in the Journal of Geophysical Research: Solid Earth, in 2011, a team led by Igor Stubailo of the Department of Earth and Space Sciences at the University of California Los Angeles, published a model of the subduction zone beneath Mexico using data from seismic monitoring stations belonging to the Mesoamerican Seismic Experiment, the Network of Autonomously Recording Seismographs, the USArray, Mapping the Rivera Subduction Zone and the Mexican Servicio Sismologico Nacional.

The seismic monitoring stations were able to monitor not just Earthquakes in Mexico, but also Earthquakes in other parts of the world, monitoring the rate at which compression waves from these quakes moved through the rocks beneath Mexico, and how the structure of the rocks altered the movement of these waves.

Based upon the results from these monitoring stations, Stubailo et al. came to the conclusion that the Cocos Plate was split into two beneath Mexico, and that the two plates are subducting at different angles, one steep and one shallow. Since the rate at which a plate melts reflects its depth within the Earth, the steeper angled plate melts much closer to the subduction zone than the shallower angled plate, splitting the Trans-Mexican Volcanic Belt into sections above the different segments of the Cocos Plate, and causing it to apparently curve away from the subduction zone.

Top the new model of the Cocos Plate beneath Mexico, split into two sections (A & B) subducting at differing angles. (C) Represents the Rivera Plate, subducting at a steeper angle than either section of the Cocos Plate. The Split between the two has been named the Orozco Fracture Zone (OFZ) which is shown extended across the Cocos Plate; in theory this might in future split the Cocos Plate into two segments (though not on any human timescale). Bottom Left, the position of the segments on a map of Mexico. Darker area is the Trans-Mexican Volcanic Belt, orange circles are volcanoes, brown triangles are seismic monitoring stations, yellow stars are major cities. Bottom Right, an alternative model showing the subducting plate twisted but not split. This did not fit the data. Stubailo et al. (2012).

See also...

Magnitude 6.5 Earthquake off the coast of EL Salvador.

The United States Geological Survey recorded a Magnitude 6.5 Earthquake at a depth of 69.7 km, roughly 43 km offshore of the municipality of Intipucá in La Unión Department, El Salvador, slightly after 6.20 pm local time on Tuesday 18 July 2023 (slightly after 0.20 am on Wednesday 19 July, GMT). The quake was felt across much of Central America, from southern Mexico to Costa Rica, though there are no reports of any major damage or injuries.

The approximate location of the 18 July 2023 El Salvador Earthquake. USGS.

El Salvador and the other countries of Central America are located on the southern part of the Caribbean Plate, close to its boundary with the Cocos Plate, which underlies part of the east Pacific. The Cocos Plate is being pushed northwards by expansion of the crust along the East Pacific Rise, and is subducted beneath the Caribbean Plate along the Middle American Trench, which runs parallel to the south coast of Central America, passing under the peninsula as it sinks into the Earth's interior. This is not a smooth process, the plates tend to stick together, breaking apart again once the pressure from the northward movement of the Cocos Plate builds up to much, triggering Earthquakes. 

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