Friday 9 October 2020

Asteroid 2013 GY7 passes the Earth.

Asteroid 2013 GY7 passed by the Earth at a distance of about 15 304 000 km (39.9 times the average distance between the Earth and the Moon, or 10.0% of the distance between the Earth and the Sun), slightly before 4.10 pm GMT on Monday 5 October 2020. There was no danger of the asteroid hitting us, though were it to do so it would not have presented a significant threat. 2013 GY7 has an estimated equivalent diameter of 160-520 m (i.e. it is estimated that a spherical object with the same volume would be 160-520 m in diameter), and an object of this size would be predicted to be capable of passing through the Earth's atmosphere relatively intact, impacting the ground directly with an explosion that would be 4000-450 000 times as powerful as the Hiroshima bomb. Such an impact would result in an impact crater roughly 2.5-8 km in diameter and devastation on a global scale, as well as climatic effects that would last years or even decades.

 
The orbit of 2013 GY7, and its current position. JPL Small Body Database.

2013 GY7 was discovered on 3 April 2013 by the University of Hawaii's PANSTARRS telescope. The designation 2013 GY7 implies that it was the 192nd asteroid (asteroid Y7 - in numbering asteroids the letters A-Y, excluding I, are assigned numbers from 1 to 24, with a number added to the end each time the alphabet is ended, so that A = 1, A1 = 25, A2 = 49, etc., which means that Y7 = (24 x 7) + 24 = 192) discovered in the first half of April 2013 (period 2013 G).
 
2013 GY7 has a 508 day (1.39 year) orbital period, with an elliptical orbit tilted at an angle of 29.6° to the plain of the Solar System which takes in to 0.95 AU from the Sun (95% of the distance at which the Earth orbits the Sun) and out to 1.53 AU (153% of the distance at which the Earth orbits the sun and slightly further from the Sun than the planet Mars). This means that close encounters between the asteroid and Earth are fairly common, with the last thought to have happened in April this year (2020) and the next predicted in April next year (2021). It is therefore classed as an Apollo Group Asteroid (an asteroid that is on average further from the Sun than the Earth, but which does get closer). As an asteroid probably larger than 150 m in diameter that occasionally comes within 0.05 AU of the Earth, 2013 GY7 is also classified as a Potentially Hazardous Asteroid.
 
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