Showing posts with label Earthquakes. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Earthquakes. Show all posts

Monday, 31 August 2026

More than 900 people have now been confirmed dead and over 3000 are still missing following a glacier collapse on the Nepal-Tibet border.

More than 800 people are now known to have died and more than 3000 are still missing following a glacier collapse on the border between Nepal and Tibet on Wednesday 26 August 2026. The incident was first recorded as a Magnitude 4.4 Earthquake by the United States Geological Survey at 2.52 am GMT, which is 8.37 am in Nepal and 10.52 am in Tibet (Tibet has been part of China since the 1950s, and China uses a single time-zone for all its territory, leading to a two-and-a-half hour time gap between Tibet and Nepal, despite their having a similar longitude), a figure which was revised to a Magnitude 5.2 event shortly after. Seven minutes after this a flash flood and debris flow hit the Gyirong Port border crossing between Nepal and Tibet, before passing along the Lhende Khola River Valley in Nepal and into the Trishuli River system.

CCTV footage of a flash flood and debris flow hit the Gyirong Port border crossing between Nepal and Tibet on Wednesday 26 August 2026. Hong Kong Standard.

This event was initially interpreted as an Earthquake-induced glacier collapse, probably caused by a glacier shattering and releasing a melt-lake which had built up behind it. Such events are the most common form of glacier collapse, and are particularly associated with warming global temperatures. Essentially, glaciers begin to melt behind their leading edge, with the amount of ice in front of the growing lake slowly decreasing till the whole edifice collapses. However satellite images taken in the days before the collapse revealed no such lake, and it is now thought that a chunk of glacier with an area of about 200 000 m², and a volume of 1-2 million m³, broke off a glacier at an altitude of between 5200  m and 5400 m above sealevel, then dropped vertically about 1200 m into the valley below. This impact caused the event which the United States Geological Survey interpreted as an Earthquake.

CCTV footage of a debris flow hitting the Gyrong Port Border Crossing on Wednesday 26 August 2026. Resonoud News (响亮新闻)/Wikimedia Commons.

Approximately seven minutes after this initial collapse, the Gyirong Port Border Crossing was hit by a flood and debris flow 80 m high, travelling at approximately 180 km per hour (50 m per second). This remarkable velocity was driven largely by the steep nature of the high mountain valleys, with the Gyirong Port border crossing being approximately 3000 m lower than the initial impact point of the falling glacier. The debris flow continued down the valley for approximately 100 km, sweeping away 41 bridges and 42 km of road, as well as the Gyirong Port border crossing in Tibet and the corresponding Rasuwagadhi Customs Office in Nepal, as well as numerous homes and other buildings, and causing significant damage to six hydroelectric projects in Nepal. Bodies of victims of this flood event have been found as far away as Uttar Pradesh in northern India, more than 250 km from the initial glacier collapse event.

The remains of a bridge in Nepal swept away by the 26 August 2026 floods. Ritesh Shukla/Getty Images.

Glacier collapses are a part of the natural cycle of events within the Himalayas. The mountains here are not static, but are actively growing as the northward movement of the Indian Plate pushes up the overlying Eurasian plate. This means that glaciers which sit upon these mountains are slowly raised to ever higher altitudes, while at the same time becoming ever more steeply inclined. Eventually, this situation becomes unstable, and gravity overcomes the ability of the ice to stick to the underlying rocks, causing sections of glacier to collapse down the sides of the mountains.

Block diagram showing how the impact of the Indian Plate into Eurasia is causing uplift on the Tibetan Plateau. Jayne Doucette/Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution.

This situation is made significantly worse by rising global temperatures, with the Himalayan region warming at twice the global average, which lead to higher rates of melting on glaciers in the Himalayas. The problem here is not just that the ice melts, but that when it does the water tends to percolate downward through any cracks or holes in the glacier surface, eventually pooling on the underside of the glacier. This creates a layer of liquid water over which the glacier can flow, which is the natural way in which glaciers move in lowland areas, but can lead to catastrophic consequences on high, steeply inclined glaciers.

This warming does not just threaten glaciers in these regions; many of the highest mountains are effectively rubble piles held together by ice and frozen soil (permafrost). As the Himalayas warm this ice can thaw, leading to parts of mountains breaking away, leading to more and larger landslides and rockfalls in an area where these are already a major threat to both lives and infrastructure. 

Rescue efforts following the 26 August event have been greatly impacted by the loss of roads and bridges, as well as the large amounts of mud and silt left behind by the floods. Rescue workers have often had to wade through deep mud to reach communities cut off by the floods, with other communities only accessible by helicopter. 

Floodwaters and debris passing through a community in Nepal on Wednesday 26 August 2026. Safal Prakash Shrestha/JNA Press/ZUMA Press/Shutterstock.

Concerns were raised about a second flood hitting the area on Thursday 27 August, after Chinese authorities discovered a barrier lake which had formed behind debris deposited at the confluence of the Chhochen Khola and Purepu Tsangpo rivers in Tibet. At the time, there was an estimated three million cubic metres of water in this lake, which had begun to overtop the barrier, leading to fears of an imminent collapse. However, this lake subsequently drained away naturally without Human interference, and had largely disappeared by Sunday 30 August. 

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Sunday, 16 August 2026

At least 53 dead following Magnitude 7.7 Earthquake off the coast of Flores Island, Indonesia.

The Indonesian Meteorological, Climatological, and Geophysical Agency recorded a Magnitude 7.7 Earthquake at a depth of about 15 km, to the north of the Island of Flores in East Nusa Tenggara Province, Indonesia slightly before 5.00 am on Saturday 15 August 2026, Eastern Indonesian Time (slightly before 10.00 pm on Friday 14 August, GMT). The Earthquake was felt as far away as Bali, and caused a tsunami as high as 1.6 m on some parts of the coast of Flores. The initial event has been followed by more than three hundred aftershocks.

The approximate location of the 15 August 2026 Flores Earthquake. USGS.

At least 53 people have died as a result of this event, the majority of them killed in their sleep as buildings collapsed onto them, making this the most deadly Earthquake to hit Indonesia since 2022. A further 135 people are known to have been injured, with more than 5000 people displaced and over 1900 homes damaged or destroyed. The Earthquake also caused damage to at least 93 educational facilities, 36 health facilities, 38 government offices, and five places of worship. A maritime passenger terminal collapsed in Maumere on the north coast of Flores.

Damaged and collapsed building in the city of Mbay on the north coast of Flores. Ignasius Kunda/EPA.

Flores is one of the Lesser Sunda Islands, which are located on the northern part of the Timor Microplate. This is trapped between the converging Eurasian and Australian Plates, both of which are being subducted beneath it. In the south the Australian Plate is passing under the island of Timor, while in the north the Eurasian Plate is being subducted in the same way. This is not a smooth process; the rocks of the various plates constantly stick together, only to break apart again as the pressure builds up, causing Earthquakes in the process.

The subduction zones beneath the Timor Microplate. Hamson (2004).

Earthquakes along subductive margins are particularly prone to causing tsunamis, since these often occur when the overlying plate has stuck to the underlying plate, being pulled out of shape by its movement. Eventually the pressure builds up too far and the overlying plate snaps back, causing an Earthquake and a tsunami. 

Simplified graphic showing tsunami generation along a convergent margin, and how this can be monitored using ground-based GPS systems to give early warnings of the arrival of tsunamis. NASA/JPL/CalTech.

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Sunday, 2 August 2026

At least 34 dead following Magnitude 7.1 Earthquake beneath Kumamoto Prefecture, Japan.

The Japan Meteorological Agency recorded a Magnitude 7.1 Earthquake at a depth of about 10 km, beneath Kumamoto Prefecture on Kyūshū Island, slightly before 4.30 pm Japan Standard Time (slightly before 7.30 am GMT) on Tuesday 28 July 2026. At least 34 people have died following this event, and many more are still missing, most of them within a shopping centre which collapsed during the Earthquake, and where an explosion occurred about an hour later, probably due to a broken gas main. The Earthquake was felt across western Japan, and more than 100 aftershocks have been recorded since the original event.

The approximate location of the 28 July 2026 Kumamoto Prefectiure Earthquake. USGS.

Around 30 000 households lost power following the event, and around 80 000 have lost water supplies. More than 1000 people have been evacuated to temporary shelters, while civil engineers make safe their residences. Managing this evacuation is proving to be particularly difficult, as many evacuation centres have also lost electricity and water suppliers. The area is currently also suffering from a heatwave, with temperatures reaching as high as 39°C, and around 30% of those evacuated have been described as elderly and vulnerable to the heat.

A collapsed building in the city of Yatsushiro in Kumamoto Prefecture following the 28 July 2026 Earthquake. Hiro Komae/AP.

Japan has a complex tectonic environment with four plates underlying parts of the Islands; in addition to the Pacific in the east and the Othorsk in the North, there are the Philipine Plate to the south and the Eurasian Plate to the West. Kyūshū Island lies at the northeast end of the Ryukyu Island Arc, which sits on top of the boundary between the Eurasian and Philippine Plates. The Philippine Plate is being subducted beneath the Eurasian Plate, in the Ryukyo Trench, to the Southeast of the Islands. This is not a smooth process, with the two plates continuously sticking together then breaking apart as the pressure builds up, leading to frequent Earthquakes in the region.

The movement of the Pacific and Philippine Plates beneath eastern Honshū. Laurent Jolivet/Institut des Sciences de la Terre d'Orléans/Sciences de la Terre et de l'Environnement.

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Thursday, 25 June 2026

Northern Venezeula hit by pair of major Earthquakes, leaving at least 164 dead.

The United States Geological Survey recorded a Magnitude 7.2 Earthquake at a depth of 20.3 km, roughly 23 km to the southeast of the town of Yumare in Yaracuy State on the north coast of Venezuela, slightly before 6.05 pm local (slightly before 10.05 pm GMT) time on Wednesday 24 June 2026. This was followed after 39 seconds by a Magnitude 7.5 Earthquake 4 km to the southeast of the original event, at a depth of 10 km. 

The approximate location of the second 24 June 2026 Yaracuy Earthquake. USGS.

At least 164 people are known to have died as a result of this event, with another 971 injured. However, more than a hundred buildings have collapsed as a result of the Earthquakes, it is thought likely that many thousands more people may be trapped or dead beneath the rubble. The worst of the damage occurred in the State of La Guaira, to the east of the epicentres of the events.

A partially collapsed apartment building in the city of Catia La Mar in the State of La Guaira, Venezuela. Federico Parra/AFP/Getty Images.

The northern coast of Venezuela forms the boundary between the South American Plate, which is being pushed to the west by the expansion of the Atlantic, and the Caribbean Plate, which is also being pushed westward, but at a slower rate due to a collision with the Cocos Plate (which lies to the west of Central America). This means that the two plates are moving past one-another, creating a transform plate margin. This is not a smooth process, rather the plates constantly stick together, causing pressure to build up, then break apart in often spectacular earthquakes.

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