Thursday 7 February 2019

Asteroid 2019 AV2 passes the Earth.

Asteroid 2019 AV2 passed by the Earth at a distance of about 6 723 000 km (17.5 times the average distance between the Earth and the Moon, or 4.49% of the distance between the Earth and the Sun), slightly after 8.30 pm GMT on Friday 1 February 2019. There was no danger of the asteroid hitting us, though were it to do so it would have presented a significant threat. 2019 AV2 has an estimated equivalent diameter of 110-340 m (i.e. it is estimated that a spherical object with the same volume would be 110-340 m in diameter), and an object of this size would be predicted to be capable of passing through the Earth's atmosphere relatively intact, impacting the ground directly with an explosion that would be between about 600 and 100 000 times as powerful as the Hiroshima bomb. Such an impact would result in an impact crater between 1.5 and 5.0 km in diameter and devastation on a global scale, as well as climatic effects that would last years or even decades.

 The calculated orbit of 2019 AV2. JPL Small Body Database.

2019 AV2 was discovered on 3 January 2018 (28 days before its closest approach to the Earth) by the Atlas MLO Telescope at Mauna Loa Observatory in Hawaii. The designation 2019 AV2 implies that the asteroid was the 69th object (object V2 - in numbering asteroids the letters A-Y, excluding I, are assigned numbers from 1 to 24, so that V2 = (24 x 2) + 21 = 69) discovered in the first half of January 2019 (period 2019 A).

2019 AV2 has an 1412 day orbital period and an eccentric orbit tilted at an angle of 9.01° to the plane of the Solar System, which takes it from 0.87 AU from the Sun (i.e. 87% of the the average distance at which the Earth orbits the Sun) to 4.05 AU from the Sun (i.e. 4.05% of the average distance at which the Earth orbits the Sun, more than twice the distance at which Mars orbits). It is therefore classed as an Apollo Group Asteroid (an asteroid that is on average further from the Sun than the Earth, but which does get closer). This means that close encounters between the asteroid and Earth are extremely common, with the last having occurred in June 2014 and the next predicted in June 2042. 2019 AV2 also has occasional close encounter with the planet Jupiter, with the last having happened in August 1986 and the next predicted for September 2105. As an asteroid probably larger than 150 m in diameter that occasionally comes within 0.05 AU of the Earth, 2019 AV2 is also classified as a Potentially Hazardous Asteroid.

See also...

http://sciencythoughts.blogspot.com/2019/02/asteroid-532-herculina-approaches.htmlhttp://sciencythoughts.blogspot.com/2019/02/meteorites-fall-on-cuban-town-after.html
http://sciencythoughts.blogspot.com/2019/01/asteroid-2019-bu1-passes-earth.htmlhttp://sciencythoughts.blogspot.com/2019/01/could-microbes-from-earth-have-reached.html
http://sciencythoughts.blogspot.com/2019/01/asteroid-2018-xh-passes-earth.htmlhttp://sciencythoughts.blogspot.com/2019/01/bright-fireball-meteor-off-east-coast.html
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