Showing posts with label Uganda. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Uganda. Show all posts

Friday, 5 May 2023

More than 135 dead amid flooding and landslides in Rwanda and Uganda.

One hundred and twenty nine people have now been confirmed dead in Rwanda, and another six in neighbouring Uganda, amid heavy and relentless rains which have been falling in the area since the beginning of March, triggering a series of floods and landslides. Landslides are a common problem after severe weather events, as excess pore water pressure can overcome cohesion in soil and sediments, allowing them to flow like liquids.  Approximately 90% of all landslides are caused by heavy rainfall.

A landslide blocking a road at Mushubati in western Rwanda. Miriam Kone/AFP/Getty Images.

Sixteen people are known to have died in a flash flood in Karongi District in Western Province,  Rwanda, which swept away a number of houses at about 2 am local time on Wednesday 3 May 2023, and it is feared that more people may have died in the event and not yet been discovered. The River Sebeya, in northwest Rwanda, close to the border with Uganda, is reported to have burst its banks, leading to widespread flooding Six people, five of them from a single family, are reported to have died in a landslide in Kisoro District in the southwest of Uganda, with a number of other landslides causing disruption in mountainous areas of southern Uganda.

The remains of a home which collapsed amid flooding in Rubavu District, Western Province, Rwanda. Jean Bizimana/Reuters.

Rwanda has a wet montane climate, with a long rainy season which lasts from mis-September to mid-May, with two peaks in rainfall in October-November and March to April. Such a double Rainy Season is common close to the equator, where the Sun is highest overhead around the equinoxes and lowest on the horizons around the solstices, making the solstices the coolest part of the year and the equinoxes the hottest. Like other areas of East Africa, Rwanda has suffered from exceptionally high levels of rainfall this year, driven by unusually warm weather over the Indian Ocean, which means that much of the ground is now waterlogged, and cannot absorb any more water, with the effect that any further rain is likely to run over the surface leading to flooding.

The high temperatures and exceptional rainfall are thought to be associated with a developing el Niño weather-system over the South Pacific. The El Niño is the warm phase of a long-term climatic oscillation affecting the southern Pacific, which can influence the climate around the world. The onset of El Niño conditions is marked by a sharp rise in temperature and pressure over the southern Indian Ocean, which then moves eastward over the southern Pacific. This pulls rainfall with it, leading to higher rainfall over the Pacific and lower rainfall over South Asia. This reduced rainfall during the already hot and dry summer leads to soaring temperatures in southern Asia, followed by a rise in rainfall that often causes flooding in the Americas and sometimes Africa. Worryingly climatic predictions for the next century suggest that global warming could lead to more frequent and severe El Niño conditions, extreme weather conditions a common occurrence.

Movements of air masses and changes in precipitation in an El Niño weather system. Fiona Martin/NOAA.

The development of an el Niño weather-system this year is considered particularly alarming by climate scientists, as the world has had several consecutive years in which average global sea-surface temperatures have equaled or slightly surpassed the hottest previous average temperatures recorded, despite the climate being in a la Niña phase. As sea surface temperatures are typically significantly warmer during an el Niño phase than a la Niña phase, the development of such a phase could push temperatures into areas not previously encountered on Earth since Modern Humans first appeared, potentially triggering or accelerating other climatic problems, such as glacial melting, droughts in tropical forests, and changes in ocean circulation, which might in turn take us further into unfamiliar climatic territory.

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Wednesday, 2 November 2022

Sudan ebolavirus outbreak in Uganda.

On 20 September 2022, the health authorities in the Republic of Uganda declared an outbreak of Ebola disease caused by Sudan ebolavirus, after a case was confirmed in a village in Madudu sub-County in Mubende District, central Uganda on 19 September, according to a press release issued by the World Health Organization on 28 October. As of 26 October, a total of 115 confirmed and 21 probable cases, including 32 confirmed and 21 probable deaths (a fatality rate among confirmed cases of 27.8%) have been reported. Overall, 15 cases with four deaths have been reported among healthcare workers. A further 1844 contacts were under surveillance in nine districts of the country on 26 October. A cumulative total of 3166 contacts have been listed since the start of this outbreak, of which 1194 (37.7%) have completed the follow-up period of 21 days. A total of 94 'safe and dignified burials' have been undertaken since the beginning of the outbreak, of which 92 were community burials.

Confirmed and probable cases of Sudan ebolavirus by date of illness onset and outcome (dead/alive), 20 September–26 October 2022. World Health Organization.

The most affected district is Mubende, which has reported 63 cases (54.7% of the total number reported) of all confirmed cases, and in particular Madudu sub-County with 21 confirmed cases reported (18.2% of all confirmed cases). Since the previous week (20 October 2022), two additional districts reported new cases, bringing the total number of affected districts to seven.

Map of confirmed cases and deaths of Ebola disease caused by Sudan ebolavirus, by District, as of 26 October 2022. World Health Organization.

Ebola Virus Disease is caused by RNA Viruses of the genus Ebolavirus. It has a reputation for being the world's deadliest viral disease, at least in part due to the 1995 film Outbreak, though this is probably slightly inaccurate as about 50% of victims survive, making it less deadly than diseases such as Rabies. The most common strain of Ebolavirus, Zaire ebolavirus, is extremely contagious, with know known cure, and has a tendency to rapidly overwhelm local health systems as health workers themselves are infected. Sudan ebolavirus has a lower transmission rate than Zaire ebolavirus, and Uganda has experience in responding to outbreaks of Zaire ebolavirus and Sudan ebolavirus and necessary action has been initiated quickly. The current outbreak is the first outbreak of Sudan ebolavirus in Uganda since 2012. In the absence of licensed vaccines and therapeutics for prevention and treatment of Sudan virus disease, the risk of potential serious public health impact is high.

Ebola begins with a fever similar to that caused by Influenza or Malaria, which tends to come on rapidly two-to-three weeks after infection (during at least part of which time the patient is already infectious). This tends to be followed by extreme respiratory tract infection, headaches, confusion, rashes and tissue necrosis and heavy bleeding. Death is generally caused by multiple organ failure.

The only known treatment for Ebola is intensive rehydration, which can improve the survival prospects of patients greatly, accompanied by anticoagulants and procoagulants to mange the diseases attacks on the circulatory system, analgesia to cope with the pain of the disease and antibiotics and antimycotics to prevent secondary infection. Due to the highly contagious nature of the disease it is recommended that healthcare workers wear full-body protection to maintain a barrier between them and their patients; a daunting prospect in the tropical regions of Africa where the disease is endemic. 

Ebolavirus is thought to have a non-human animal vector, since its rapid onset and high mortality rate appears to preclude a permanent residence within Human hosts. Surveys of wild animals have found Ebola infections in Rodents and Great Apes, however these were affected by the disease in a similar way to Humans, and are therefore unlikely permanent hosts. The most likely vectors are thought to be Fruit Bats or small Primates, which are endemic to the areas where the disease occurs and which are widely eaten; cooking meat probably kills the virus, but there is a distinct danger of infection while preparing carcasses.  

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Saturday, 7 May 2022

Outbreak of Yellow Fever declared in Uganda.

On 6 March 2022, the World Health Organization received notification from the Uganda Ministry of Health of four suspected yellow fever cases, according to a press release. As of 25 April 2022, a total of seven suspected cases tested positive for yellow fever antibodies by plaque reduction neutralization test. However, further investigations identified only one laboratory confirmed case of yellow fever reported from Wakiso district, Central Region. The Ministry of Health declared an outbreak, and a rapid response team was deployed to the affected districts. Due to the potential of epidemic spread in Uganda and the risk of spread to neighboring countries, the World Health Organization assesses the risk to be high at the national and regional levels.

Cases presented with symptoms including fever, vomiting, nausea, diarrhoea, intense fatigue, anorexia, abdominal pain, chest pain, muscle pain, headache, and sore throat. None of the cases presented with severe yellow fever symptoms of acute jaundice. Six of the seven cases were female.

Yellow Fever is a Flavivirus (the group of RNA Viruses that also includes the West Nile, Zika and Hepatitis C Viruses) transmitted to humans by the bites of infected Aedes and Haemagogus Mosquitoes.. The Virus causes a mild fever, accompanied loss of apatite, nausea and muscle pains, which passes within about 15 days. However, in about 15 % of cases a more severe infection attacks the liver and kidneys, which can lead to their failure, and therefore the death of the patient.  It originated in tropical Africa and but was carried to South America and the Caribbean during the trans-Atlantic slave trade. Outbreaks of the disease have also been recorded in parts of tropical Asia and the Pacific in recent years, and many countries in tropical regions require visitors to carry a certificate proving they have been vaccinated against the Virus.

 
The Yellow Fever Virus. Erskine Palmer/Centers for Disease Control and Prevention/Wikipedia.

Forty countries globally, 27 in Africa and 13 in Central and South America are classified as high-risk for yellow fever. Since September 2021, 13 countries in the World Health Organization African Region have reported probable and confirmed yellow fever cases and outbreaks, including an ongoing outbreak under close investigation in neighbouring Kenya. These outbreaks are occurring in large geographic areas of the Western, Central and Eastern regions of Africa. They have affected areas that have previously conducted large-scale mass vaccination campaigns but with persistent and growing gaps in immunity due to lack of sustained population immunity through routine immunization and/or secondary to population movements (newcomers without history of vaccination). These reports indicate a resurgence and intensified transmission of the yellow fever virus.

After the Uganda Ministry of Health declared a yellow fever outbreak in the country they activated the Public Health Emergency Operation center. They are also deploying a rapid response team to affected districts where all cases were reported to determine the extent of the outbreak, identify the at-risk population, conduct a risk assessment, initiate risk communication and community engagement activities and implement integrated vector control measures.

Yellow fever vaccine has not been introduced into the Uganda routine immunization schedule; however, the country has an imminent plan to introduce it in mid-2022, followed by phased mass vaccination campaigns. Pending the evolution of the situation and response planning, a request maybe submitted to the International Coordinating Group on Vaccine Provision for preventive yellow fever vaccination in areas as indicated by ongoing investigations.

Uganda is endemic for yellow fever and is classified as a high-risk country in the Eliminate Yellow Fever Epidemics (EYE) Strategy. The country has history of outbreaks reported in 2020 (Buliisa, Maracha and Moyo districts), 2019 (Masaka and Koboko districts), 2016 (Masaka, Rukungiri, and Kalangala districts) and in 2010 when ten districts were affected in Northern Uganda.

The confirmed case is reported from Wakiso District, close to the greater Kampala metropolitan area. The district also includes Entebbe, where the international airport is located.

Uganda has not introduced the yellow fever vaccine into routine immunization and the estimated overall population immunity is low (4.2%), and attributable to past reactive vaccination activities supported by International Coordinating Group in focal districts including Yumbe, Moyo, Buliisa, Maracha, Koboko, Masaka, and Koboko, in limited scope in the Greater Kampala area, Masaka, Rukungiri, and Kalangala districts.

Epidemic spread of yellow fever is a risk in Uganda as there could be onward amplification if the virus is introduced in crowded urban areas that are known hubs for travel. There is the risk for further amplification and international spread because of frequent population movements (e.g., between Uganda, Democratic Republic of Congo and South Sudan), coupled with the low population immunity in some neighbouring countries.

The recurrent outbreaks indicate the ongoing risk of zoonotic spill over of yellow fever and risk for disease amplification in both rural and densely settled urban areas in the largely unimmunized population. Despite the yellow fever vaccine being highly effective (99% effective within 30 days of vaccination), the risk of breakthrough cases exists.  These cases should be investigated to identify and address possible causes of vaccine failure.

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Monday, 12 July 2021

Hunting preferences in Chimpanzees, and their implications for early Human hunters.

Chimpanzees, Pan troglodytes, are one of our closest non-Human relatives (along with Bonobos, Pan paniscus), sharing 96% of our genome, and many behavioural traits. Due to this, Chimpanzee behaviour is often used as a proxy for early Hominid behaviour (Hominids being Humans, and anything more closely related to Humans than it is to Chimpanzees and Bonobos). Chimpanzees were for a long time thought to be herbivorous, but the numerous studies of these Apes carried out since the 1960s have shown them to be omnivores, which actively hunt a wide range of prey, including smaller Primates, Chimpanzees are now known to engage in cooperative group hunting using a range of stone tools, which makes understanding this aspect of their behaviour particularly intriguing to scientists trying to understand the origins of such behaviours in Hominids.

The optimal foraging theory predicts that an Animal will chose prey that provides the maximum energetic return from capturing and consuming it without getting injured in the process. Chimpanzees are particularly interesting in this regard, as different groups of Chimpanzees favour different types of prey, and use different tools and hunting techniques, traits which are identified as evidence for the development of distinct cultures among different groups. Notably, many Chimpanzees live in areas where there is a marked seasonal variation in prey availability, requiring them to switch hunting techniques while still accessing the best available prey. This is predicted to be the largest size of prey that can be captured safely by Chimpanzees in any area at any given time, with Chimpanzee cultural traits evolving to maximise this return. Meat derived from hunts is divided among the group, with the first choice of meat usually going to the most mature members of the group, thereby promoting collaboration within the group over solitary hunting.

 
A Chimpanzee consuming an Ashy Red Colobus Monkey, Piliocolobus tephrosceles, in the Kibale National Park, Uganda. BBC Earth.

In a paper published in the journal Ecology and Evolution on 4 May 2021, Cassandra Bugir of the Conservation Biology Research Group at the University of Newcastle, Thomas Butynski of the Eastern Africa Primate Diversity and Conservation Program, and Matt Hayward, also of the Conservation Biology Research Group at the University of Newcastle, and of the Mammal Research Institute at the University of Pretoria, and the Centre for African Conservation Ecology at Nelson Mandela University, present the results of a study in which they searched the existing literature on Chimpanzee diet and behaviour in order to determine prey preferences amongst different Chimpanzee groups, and the factors which drove their prey selection choices.

Bugir et al. sought out data on both the prey type selected by Chimpanzees, and abundance data on the prey being taken, excluding from their study previous research where this was not provided and could not otherwise be determined. They were particularly interested in the prey species taken, the availability of those prey species, the number of each type of prey taken, the type of tools used to capture the prey, and the size and sex ration of hunting groups, and size of the prey in kilograms.

In some cases data on prey bodyweights were not available, but it was possible to estimate this from other studies of the prey species. The mean adult bodyweight of a male Chimpanzee was estimated at 41.2 kg, based upon data from previous studies, which was used as the standard against which prey bodyweight could be compared, as adult male Chimpanzees are the members of the group which do the most hunting.

Bugir et al. found a total of thirteen usable studies from four different localities, two in Uganda and two in Tanzania, and covering the period from 1984 to 1997. This yielded data on 20 prey species, hunted at 76 differnt times and places. Eleven of the 20 prey species were targeted on three or more occasions, which was deemed sufficient data for further analysis.

 
The four sites where data on Chimpanzee predation were obtained. Bugir et al. (2021).

The most favoured prey of the Chimpanzees at three of the four study sites was the Ashy Red Colobus Monkey, Piliocolobus tephrosceles. Infant and juvenile Bushbuck, Tragelaphus scriptus, and Western Guereza Colobus Monkey, Colobus guereza occidentalis, were all taken preferentially when available. However, Bugir et al. do note that their study was based upon a series of snapshots, and could have missed important changes in prey preference. 

The Chimpanzees also appeared to avoid certain potential prey species, notably Olive Baboon, Papio anubis, Blue Duiker, Philantomba monticola, Gentle Monkey, Cercopithecus mitis, and Red-tailed Monkey, Cercopithecus ascanius. This appears to indicate that Chimpanzees have an upper size preference for prey at about 7.6 kg, with species larger than this being avoided, and those slightly below it being preferred. This indicates that an adult male Chimpanzee will take prey up to 18% of its own size.

 
Chimpanzee prey preferences determined by mean Jacobs’ index values ±1 SE calculated from 13 studies at four sites. Significantly preferred prey, taken in excess of their abundance, are delineated by black bars. Gray bars denote significantly avoided prey which are less likely to be pursued irrespective of their abundance. Blue bars are prey that are taken or avoided according to their availability. Bugir et al. (2021).

There is also an apparent relationship between the sex ratio within a group, and the likelihood that the Chimpanzees will develop a preference for certain types of prey. This appears to be a far greater contributing factor than group size, prey body weight, or hunting method.

Having preferred prey species and avoiding potential prey which is to large to be taken safely is a trait that Chimpanzees share with other predators; in the case of Chimpanzees the upper size limit for prey appears to be about 7.6 kg. Larger prey, such as Baboons or Ungulates, are generally avoided, although immature members of these species may be hunted. This is a much lower threshold than that of Humans living in hunter-gatherer societies, who will typically take prey up to a limit of 276% of the size of an adult female. Meat plays an important role in the diet of both species, but is clearly much more important to Humans, with up to 60% of the diet of Humans living in hunter-gatherer societies coming from Animals, including about 35% from Mammals, while the Chimpanzee diet is typically about 4% meat. This suggests that the preference for meat may have been a major driver in the brain-size increase seen in Humans compared to Chimpanzees, and that Chimpanzees cannot be seen as apex predators in the way that Humans, Lions, and Tigers are.

The largest driver of variation in prey choice appears to be the sex ration within groups of Chimpanzees, with groups with a high proportion of males taking a much wider range of prey. In all Chimpanzee groups males are the primary hunters, but females sometimes join hunting expeditions, and make use of tools when they do so.

The main purpose in hunting among Chimpanzees appears to be social, whereas in Human hunter-gatherers meat is a substantial part of the diet, and thus Humans appear to fit the optimal foraging model better than Chimpanzees, with Humans efficiently hunting a wide range of prey, with masses ranging from 2.5 kg to 535 kg, using techniques that are safe to themselves and which yield high energy returns. However, Humans may be being driven to target a wider range of prey by their own success, with many Human hunters living in 'empty forests' in which the majority of potential prey species have either been wiped out, or are present at only very low densities. 

Despite the differences in hunting emphasis, the 'empty forests' phenomenon may not be exclusive to Humans, with the Chimpanzees of the Kibale National Park in having apparently become so efficient at hunting Red Colobus Monkeys that that species is in danger of being wiped out in the area, which presumably would in turn result in the Chimpanzees being forced to switch to alternative prey.

Understanding the hunting preferences of Chimpanzees has the potential to improve our ability to conserve both the Chimpanzees themselves and their prey species. Knowing what is being hunted by Chimpanzees, and which groups of Chimpanzees are doing the hunting, gives us the ability to bolster prey-species populations, thereby improving the survival chances of the Chimpanzees themselves. This understanding also has the potential to give some insight into the behaviour of early Hominids, and thereby improve our understanding of our own ancestors. 

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Monday, 25 January 2021

Kenyan man extradited by the United States for trafficking in Rhinoceros horns, Elephant ivory and heroin.

Audrey Strauss, the United States Attorney for the Southern District of New York, announced in a press release on Monday 25 January 2021, that Mansur Mohamed Surur, 60, a Kenyan citizen, was extradited from Kenya and arrived in the United States this morning. Surur was arrested by Kenyan authorities on 29 July 2020, in Mombasa, Kenya, on charges of conspiracy to traffic in Rhinoceros horns and Elephant ivory, both endangered wildlife species, which involved the illegal poaching of more than approximately 35 Rhinoceros and more than 100 Elephants.  In addition, Surur was charged with conspiracy to commit money laundering and conspiracy to distribute and possess with intent to distribute more than 10 kilograms of heroin. Surur's co-defendant, Moazu Kromah, a citizen of Liberia, was previously deported to the United States from Uganda on 13 June 2019.  Co-defendant Amara Cherif, a citizen of Guinea, was extradited to the United States from Senegal on 3 April 2020.  Co-defendant Abdi Hussein Ahmed, citizen of Kenya, remains a fugitive. Surur is expected to be arraigned later today before U.S. Magistrate Judge Debra Freeman.  The case has been assigned to U.S. District Judge Gregory Woods.
 
 
Mansur Mohamed Surur, extracted from Kenya to the United States to face charges of trafficking in Rhinoceros horns, Elephant ivory and heroin. The Standard.
 
Manhattan U.S. Attorney Audrey Strauss said:  'Mansur Mohamed Surur is alleged to be a member of an international conspiracy to traffic in Rhino horns, Elephant ivory, and heroin.  The enterprise is allegedly responsible for the illegal slaughter of dozens of Rhinos and more than 100 Elephants, both endangered species.  The excellent work of the Fish and Wildlife Service and the Drug Enforcement Administration has put an end to this operation.'
 
According to allegations in the indictment Kromah, Cherif, Surur,  and Ahmed were members of a transnational criminal enterprise based in Uganda and surrounding countries that was engaged in the large-scale trafficking and smuggling of Rhinoceros horns and Elephant ivory, both protected wildlife species. Trade involving endangered or threatened species violates several U.S. laws, as well as international treaties implemented by certain U.S. laws.
 
From at least in or about December 2012 through at least in or about May 2019, Kromah, Cherif, Surur, and Ahmed conspired to transport, distribute, sell, and smuggle at least approximately 190 kilograms of Rhinoceros horns and at least approximately 10 tons of Elephant ivory from or involving various countries in East Africa, including Uganda, the Democratic Republic of the Congo, Guinea, Kenya, Mozambique, Senegal, and Tanzania, to buyers located in the United States and countries in Southeast Asia.  Such weights of Rhinoceros horn and Elephant ivory are estimated to have involved the illegal poaching of more than approximately 35 Rhinoceros and more than approximately 100 Elephants.  In total, the estimated average retail value of the Rhinoceros horn involved in the conspiracy was at least approximately $3.4 million, and the estimated average retail value of the Elephant ivory involved in the conspiracy was at least approximately $4 million.
 
The defendants exported and agreed to export the Rhinoceros horns and Elephant ivory for delivery to foreign buyers, including those represented to be in Manhattan, in packaging that concealed the Rhinoceros horns and Elephant ivory in, among other things, pieces of art such as African masks and statues.  The defendants received and deposited payments from foreign customers that were sent in the form of international wire transfers, some which were sent through U.S. financial institutions.
 
On a number of occasions, Kromah, Surur, and Ahmed met with a confidential source (identifies as 'CS-1'), both together and separately, concerning potential purchases of Elephant ivory and Rhinoceros horn.  During these meetings and at other times via phone calls and electronic messages, CS-1 discussed with Kromah, Surur, and Ahmed, in substance and in part, the terms of such sales, including the price, weight, or size of the rhinoceros horns, as well as payment, destination, and delivery options.  CS-1 also discussed with Cherif via phone calls and electronic messages, in substance and in part, the terms of the sales, as well as how to send payment for Rhinoceros horns from a United States bank account located in New York, New York.  On or about 16 March 2018, law enforcement agents intercepted a package containing a Black Rhinoceros horn sold by the defendants to CS-1 that was intended for a buyer represented to be in New York, New York.  From in or about March 2018 through in or about May 2018, the defendants offered to sell CS-1 additional Rhinoceros horns of varying weights, including horns weighing up to approximately seven kilograms.  On or about 17 July 2018, law enforcement agents intercepted a package containing two Rhinoceros horns sold by the defendants to CS-1 that were intended for a buyer represented to be in New York, New York. 
 
Separately, from at least in or about August 2018 through at least in or about May 2019, Surur and Ahmed conspired to distribute and possess with intent to distribute more than approximately 10 kilograms of heroin to a buyer represented to be located in New York. 
 
Surur is charged with one count of conspiracy to commit wildlife trafficking and two counts of wildlife trafficking, which each carry a maximum sentence of five years; one count of conspiracy to commit money laundering, which carries a maximum sentence of 20 years; and one count of conspiracy to distribute and possess with intent to distribute one kilogram or more of heroin, which carries a maximum sentence of life imprisonment and a mandatory minimum sentence of 10 years in prison.  The maximum potential sentences are prescribed by Congress and are provided here for informational purposes only, as any sentencing of the defendant will be determined by the judge.
 
Ms. Strauss praised the outstanding investigative work of the U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service and the U.S. Drug Enforcement Administration.  In addition, she thanked law enforcement authorities and conservation partners in Uganda as well as the Kenyan Directorate of Criminal Investigations and the Kenyan Office of the Director of Public Prosecutions for their assistance in the investigation.  Ms. Strauss also thanked the U.S. Department of Justice’s Office of International Affairs for their assistance, and noted that the investigation is continuing.
 
The prosecution of this case is being handled by the Office’s Complex Frauds and Cybercrime Unit.  Assistant United States Attorneys Sagar Ravi and Jarrod Schaeffer are in charge of the prosecution. The charges contained in the Indictment are merely accusations.  The defendants are presumed innocent unless and until proven guilty.
 
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Thursday, 19 December 2019

Population of Mountain Gorillas continiues to rise.

A survey carried out by the Greater Virunga Transboundary Collaboration, published on Monday 16 December 2019, has found that the population of Mountain Gorillas, Gorilla beringei beringei, living within the Bwindi-Sarambwe ecosystem (i.e. the Bwindi Impenetrable Forest National Park and Sarambwe Nature Reserve in Uganda) has increased from an estimated 400 individuals in 2011 to an estimated 459 individuals in 2019. This supports another recent survey in the Virungu National Park which also suggests an ongoing upward trend in Mountain Gorilla numbers, with the total number of individuals estimated to be living in the wild across the Democratic Republic of Congo, Uganda, and Rwanda now standing at 1063.

A Mountain Gorilla in the Sarambwe Nature Reserve. Greater Virunga Transboundary Collaboration.

The Mountain Gorilla is considered to be Critically Endangered under the terms of the International Union for the Conservation of Nature's Red List of Threatened Species, and have been subject to extensive conservation measures and regular monitoring since the 1970s, with the effect that their population is currently thought to be slowly increasing steadily since the population reached a low point of about 280 individuals in the mid 1980s. The population is fragmented into several different populations which are no longer able to interbreed, due to the clearance of forests to create farmland, which the Gorillas are unable to cross.


A family of Gorillas in the Bwindi Impenetrable Forest National Park. Gorilla Doctors.

See also...

https://sciencythoughts.blogspot.com/2019/12/sumatran-orangutan-found-with-gunshot.htmlhttps://sciencythoughts.blogspot.com/2019/07/clash-between-villagers-and-park.html
https://sciencythoughts.blogspot.com/2018/10/pongo-pygmaeus-148-500-borneo.htmlhttps://sciencythoughts.blogspot.com/2018/08/indonesian-authorities-uncover-illegal.html
https://sciencythoughts.blogspot.com/2017/11/pongo-tapanuliensis-new-species-of.htmlhttp://sciencythoughts.blogspot.com/2016/10/gorilla-beringei-graueri-grauers.html
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Sunday, 8 December 2019

Flooding and landslides kill at least sixteen in Western Uganda.

At least sixteen people have died in a series of flooding and landslide events in the Bundibugyo District of Western Uganda this weekend, according to the Uganda Red Cross. The incidents happened after weeks of heavy rains left soil in many parts of the area waterlogged, so that when the rains intensified on Saturday 7 December 2019, the ground was unable to soak up the water, causing it to accumulate on the surface and leading to a series of flash floods and landslides. Landslides are a common problem after severe weather events, as excess pore water pressure can overcome cohesion in soil and sediments, allowing them to flow like liquids. Approximately 90% of all landslides are caused by heavy rainfall. Several more people are still missing in the area, with rescuers still searching the landslide sites for more bodies.

 
Flooding in Bundibugyo District, this weekend. Uganda Red Cross.

The incidents occurred after about a month of heavy rains, in one of the area's two annual rainy seasons. This two rainy seasons per year pattern is typical in equatorial countries, with rainy seasons around the equinoxes and dry seasons around the solstices. Upland areas of East Africa have always been prone to landslides, but the problem has become worse in recent years as a rising population has led to more agriculture on hill-slopes, in many areas replacing open woodland where tree roots served to stabilise slopes, and also to more people living in harms ways. This years rains have been exceptionally heavy, and fatalities due to similar events have also been reported in other parts of Kenya, Somalia, Ethiopian, South Sudan, Sudan, Tanzania, the Democratic Republic of Congo, the Republic of Congo, Burundi and the Central African Republic.

The rains this year are thought to have been made worse by the development of a meteorological phenomenon called a Negative Indian Ocean Dipole. Indian Ocean Dipole Phases are similar to the El Niño/La Niña climatic oscillation that affect the Pacific Ocean. Under normal circumstances equatorial waters off the east coast of Africa and west coast of Indonesia are roughly similar in temperature, however during a Negative Indian Ocean Dipole Phase the waters off the coast of Indonesia become significantly warmer. As the prevailing currents in the area flow west to east, this warm water is then pushed onto the shallower continental shelf of north Australia, where it warms the air over the sea more rapidly, leading to increased evaporation (which fuels rain) and a drop in air pressure over the east Indian Ocean and west Pacific. This in turn drives air currents over the Indian Ocean to flow more strongly west to east, leading to higher rates of  cooling off the coast of Africa (where more water is drawn up from the cool sea depths) and more warming off the coast of Indonesia, fuelling a feedback cycle that tends to remain through the winter season in any year when it forms. This leads to a particularly wet winter across much of Australia, as well as a potentially damaging heatwave in the north, while much of East Africa is at risk of drought (during a Positive Indian Ocean Dipole Phase the reverse happens, with drought in Australia and flooding in East Africa).

 Areas of warming and cooling and air flow during a Negative Indian Ocean Dipole Phase. Australian Bureau of Meteorology.

See also...

https://sciencythoughts.blogspot.com/2019/11/landslide-kills-three-children-in.htmlhttps://sciencythoughts.blogspot.com/2019/10/evaluating-attitudes-of-park-rangers.html
https://sciencythoughts.blogspot.com/2019/06/landslides-kill-at-least-six-in-bududa.htmlhttps://sciencythoughts.blogspot.com/2019/02/magnitude-39-earthquake-to-north-of.html
https://sciencythoughts.blogspot.com/2019/01/pregnant-woman-killed-by-crocodile-in.htmlhttps://sciencythoughts.blogspot.com/2018/04/eleven-lions-poisoned-in-ugandan.html
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