Sunday, 8 December 2013

At least twelve dead as Cyclone Bodil hits northern Europe.

Twelve people are know to have died and several more are missing after Cyclone Bodil (also known as Sven and Xaver) hit nations in northern Europe from Thursday 5 to Saturday 7 December 2013. A lory (truck) driver was killed in Scotland when his vehicle was blown over by high winds near Edinburgh on Thursday 5 December, while a man was hit by a falling tree and killed in Nottinghamshire, England, on the same day. In Denmark a passenger in a truck was killed when the vehicle was overturned by high winds. Poland has reported five deaths relating to the storm, three of them killed when tree fell onto a car, and seven people have been reported killed, including an elderly woman found dead in a snowdrift and two Philippine sailors swept overboard from a Dutch container ship.

A lory blown over by high winds near Edinburgh, Scotland, an incident which led to the death of the driver. AP.

The storm led to extensive flooding along the northern coast of Wales and northwestern coast of England and west coast of Scotland, as well as on the east British coast as far south as Kent. Glasgow Central Railway Station was evacuated after part of a glass roof collapsed, and a number of major bridges were closed in Scotland, where winds of up to 228 km per hour were recorded. Around 10 000 people were evacuated from low-lying areas of Norfolk and Suffolk in eastern England, and a number of homes were destroyed in Hemsby on the Norfolk coast, after the collapse of a part of a cliff into the sea. Landslides are a common problem after severe weather events, as excess pore water pressure can overcome cohesion in soil and sediments, allowing them to flow like liquids. Approximately 90% of all landslides are caused by heavy rainfall, although it is likely that on this occasion the collapse was caused more directly by physical erosion due to waves battering the foot of the sandstone cliffs.

Houses undermined by coastal erosion at Hemsby on the Norfolk coast. Reuters.

In the European mainland flooding affected parts of Germany and the Netherlands, with the city of Hamburg being worst hit following a storm surge on the River Elbe. Winds of 150 km per hour were recorded in Germany, and bridges, roads, rail services, airports and public buildings closed as a precaution several countries, with many road and rail routes remaining out of action after the storm had passed due to large numbers of fallen trees. In addition many homes across northern Poland and southern Scandinavia have been left without electricity due to damaged power lines.

Flooding in Hamburg due to Cyclone Bodil. AFP.

Ocean storms form due to heating of air over the sea in tropical zones. As the air is heated the the air pressure drops and the air rises, causing new air to rush in from outside the forming storm zone. If this zone is sufficiently large, then it will be influenced by the Coriolis Effect, which loosely speaking means the winds closer to the equator will be faster than those further away, causing the storm to rotate, clockwise in the northern hemisphere and anticlockwise in the southern hemisphere.

Storm surge at Dagebuell, on the German North Sea coast on 5 December 2013. AFP.

Whilst the high winds associated these storms is extremely dangerous, the real danger from such storms is often the flooding. Each millibar drop in air pressure can lead to a 1 cm rise in sea level, and large storms can be accompanied by storm surges several meters high. This tends to be accompanied by high levels of rainfall, caused by water picked up by the storm while still at sea, which can lead to flooding, swollen rivers and landslides; which occur when waterlogged soils on hill slopes lose their cohesion and slump downwards, over whatever happens to be in their path.

Flooding at Helsingborg in southern Sweden. AP.

Since the passage of Cyclone Xaver a surprising number of websites have appeared citing the storm as 'proof' that global warming is a hoax (such sites will appear after almost any weather event, but there are a larger than usual number on this occasion). While attempting to determine the precise relationship between long-term climatic events and individual storms is largely futile, it is worth noting that storms of this nature are always a result of warming over the sea, even though their outcome is something we perceive as 'wintry' weather. Extreme weather events are the direct outcome of additional energy within a weather system leading to increased large scale atmospheric turbulence. The occurrence of storms, cannot, therefore, be used as an inference that the weather is cooler than, or even the same as, usual, although the the time scale over which the heating persists cannot be determined from an individual storm.


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Magnitude 4.5 Earthquake in Oklahoma County, Oklahoma.

The United States Geological Survey recorded a Magnitude 4.5 Earthquake at a depth of 5.0 km roughly 27 km northeast of Oklahoma City in Oklahoma County, Oklahoma, at about 12.10 pm local time (about 6.10 pm GMT) on Saturday 8 October 2013. There are no reports of any damage or injuries arising from this event, but it was felt across much of the state, as well as in neighbouring Kansas and Texas. The initial quake was followed by a number of aftershocks.

The approximate location of the 7 December 2013 Oklahoma Earthquake. Google Maps.

Oklahoma is naturally prone to Earthquakes, particularly in the southwest of the state, near the Meers Fault Zone, but since 2009 has suffered a sharp increase in the number of small quakes in the central and northeast parts of the state. While most of these quakes have been quite small, a few have been large enough to potentially cause problems, and any unexplained increase in seismic activity is a cause for concern. 

In a paper published in the journal Geology on 26 March 2013, a team of geologists led by Katie Keranen of the ConocoPhillips School of Geology and Geophysics at the University of Oklahoma linked one of the largest of these quakes, a Magnitude 5.7 event in November 2011 which caused damage locally and was felt across 17 states, to the practice of pumping liquids (usually brine) into injection wells, which is common in the hydrocarbons industry and used to displace oil or gas, which can then be extracted from nearby extraction wells (where this is done in bursts at pressure to intentionally break up rock it is called hydraulic fracturing, or fracking). Significantly they suggested that the practice could lead to quakes years or even decades after the actual injection.

Witness accounts of quakes can help geologists to understand these events and the rock structures that cause them. If you felt this quake (or if you were in the area but did not, which is also useful information) you can report it to the USGS here.


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Tuesday, 3 December 2013

Landslide kills nine on northern Sumatra.

Nine people are confirmed to have died following a landslide in the Berastagi sub-district on northern Sumatra on Saturday 30 November 2013. Four of the dead are said to be children under 10 years old. The incident happened following several hours of heavy rain. Landslides are a common problem after severe weather events, as excess pore water pressure can overcome cohesion in soil and sediments, allowing them to flow like liquids. Approximately 90% of all landslides are caused by heavy rainfall.

The site of the 30 November 2013 Berastagi landslide. Kharisma Tarigan/AFP.

November is peak Rainy Season in North Sumatra, and this year the rains have been exceptionally strong, due to high temperatures over the Indian Ocean, which has led to a series of flooding events and landslips. Environmental groups in the area have suggested that this situation has been made worse by extensive logging in the area, which has removed trees whose roots formerly helped to stabilize hillslopes during heavy rains.

The approximate location of the 30 November 2013 Berastagi landslide. Google Maps.


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Asteroid 2008 WT62 passes the Earth.

Asteroid 2008 WT62 passed the Earth at a distance of 17 030 000 km (slightly over 44.3 times the distance between the Earth and the Moon) at about 11.45 pm on Tuesday 26 November 2013. There was no danger of the asteroid hitting us, though were it to do so it would present a realistic threat. 2008 WT62 is considered to be between 45 and 140 m in diameter, and an object towards the upper end of this range could potentially punch straight through the Earth's atmosphere, impacting the ground and creating a crater over 2 km in diameter, as well as widespread devastation and climatic effects that would probably last several years.

The orbit of 2008 WT62. JPL Small Body Database Browser.

2008 WT62 was discovered on 24 November 2008 by the University of Arizona's Mt. Lemmon Survey at the Steward Observatory on Mount Lemmon in the Catalina Mountains north of Tucson. The designation 2008 WT62 implies that the asteroid was the 1569th object discovered in the second half  of November 2013 (period 2008 W). 

2008 WT62 has a 303 day orbital period, with an elliptical orbit tilted at an angle to the plain of the Solar System which takes in to 0.57 AU from the Sun (57% of the distance at which the Earth orbits the Sun, considerably inside the orbit of the planet Venus) and out to 1.20 AU (20% further away from the Sun than the Earth). This means that close encounters between the asteroid and Earth are fairly common, with the last thought to have happened in  May this year and the next predicted in September 2016. Although 2013 does cross the Earth's orbit and is briefly further from the Sun on each cycle, 2008 WT62 spends most of its time closer to the Sun than we are, and is therefore classified as an Aten Group Asteroid.


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Angiosperm-like pollen from the Middle Triassic of Switzerland.

Angiosperms (Flowering Plants) are the most successful and diverse groups of plants today, but do not have a particularly long fossil record, with both plant and pollen fossils appearing abruptly in the Early Cretaceous, followed by the group rapidly diversifying and assuming a dominant role in many ecosystems. It has long been thought that the origins of the group are probably much older than this, with various sources proposing dates from the Late Permian to the Early Jurassic. A number of fossils of possible Flowering Plants or pollen from this period have been described, but none of these is universally accepted.

In a paper published in the October 2013 edition of the journal Frontiers in Plant Science, Peter Hochuli of the Palaeontological Institute and Museum of the University of Zürich and Susanne Feist-Burkhardt of Dr. Susanne Feist-Burkhardt Geological Consulting & Services, describe a series of pollen grains from the Middle Triassic of the Germanic Basin in Northern Switzerland.

Hochuli and Feist-Burkhardt suggest that these pollen grains should be considered to belong to stem-group Angiosperms, which is to say not actually Flowering Plants as such, but ancestral to the Flowering Plants and more closely related to Flowering Plants than any other exiting plant group.

Possible stem-group Angiosperm pollen from the Triassic of northern Switzerland; (1) light microscope image and (2) confocal laser scanning microscopy image. Scale bars are 10 μm. Hochuli & Feist-Burkhardt (2013).

Hochuli and Feist-Burkhardt recognize six separate forms of Angiosperm-like pollen from the locality, suggesting that the plants had some diversity. In addition they describe some pollen which they assign to the genus Afropollis, which has previously been suggested as Angiosperm pollen, but which is currently regarded as being Angiosperm-like pollen produced by an unknown plant of uncertain affinities. Afropollis has previously only been described from Cretaceous deposits. A number of pollen grains are also assigned to the genus Eucommiidites, which is widespread in the Jurassic and Cretaceous, and again produced by an unknown plant of uncertain affinities.

Afropollis pollen from the Triassic of northern Switzerland; (7) confocal laser scanning microscopy image and (8) light microscope image. Scale bars are 10 μm (7) and 20 μm (8). Hochuli & Feist-Burkhardt (2013).


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Magnitude 0.9 Earthquake in Northumberland.

The British Geological Survey recorded a Magnitude 0.9 Earthquake at a depth of 4 km, about 4 km to the north of the village of Ponteland in Northumberland, northeast England, at about 8.45 pm GMT on Sunday 1 December 2013. This is a small quake, and there is no danger of it having caused any damage or injuries, in fact it is quite likely that nobody felt it at all or that if they did they would not have recognized it as an Earthquake.

The approximate location of the 1 December 2013 Ponteland Earthquake. Google Maps.

The precise cause of Earthquakes in the UK can be hard to determine; the country is not close to any obvious single cause of such activity such as a plate margin, but is subject to tectonic pressures from several different sources, with most quakes probably being the result of the interplay between these forces.

Britain is being pushed to the east by the expansion of the Atlantic Ocean and to the north by the impact of Africa into Europe from the south. It is also affected by lesser areas of tectonic spreading beneath the North Sea, Rhine Valley and Bay of Biscay. Finally the country is subject to glacial rebound; until about 10 000 years ago much of the north of the country was covered by a thick layer of glacial ice (this is believed to have been thickest on the west coast of Scotland), pushing the rocks of the British lithosphere down into the underlying mantle. This ice is now gone, and the rocks are springing (slowly) back into their original position, causing the occasional Earthquake in the process. 

Witness accounts of Earthquakes can help geologists to understand these events, and the structures that cause them. If you felt this quake, or were in the area but did not (which is also useful information) then you can report it to the British Geological Survey here.


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Monday, 2 December 2013

One person rescued after Chicago sinkhole swallows pickup truck.

One person had to be rescued by the Chicago Fire Department after a pickup truck was swallowed by a sinkhole on 95th Street in the South Side district of Chicago, slightly after 8.00 pm local time on Thursday 28 November 2013 (2.00 am on Friday 29 November, GMT). Two people were in the vehicle, which was in the eastbound lane near the junction with South Commercial Avenue when the sinkhole opened up beneath it. One person was able to escape without assistance, and neither was injured. Following the incident both lanes of 95th Street were closed for some time. The incident is being investigated by the Chicago Department of Transportation.

The vehicle trapped in the South Side sinkhole on Thursday 28 November 2013. Chicago Sun Times.

Sinkholes are generally caused by water eroding soft limestone or unconsolidated deposits from beneath, causing a hole that works its way upwards and eventually opening spectacularly at the surface. Where there are unconsolidated deposits at the surface they can infill from the sides, apparently swallowing objects at the surface, including people, without trace. It is thought likely that this sinkhole was caused by a burst water main.

The approximate location of the 28 November 2013 South Side sinkhole. Google Maps.


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